What does flight plan aided tracking predict?

Flight plan aided tracking primarily focuses on utilizing the filed flight plan to predict various aspects of an aircraft's movement during its journey. This includes the ground speed of the aircraft, which is the speed relative to the ground as opposed to the air. By analyzing the flight plan, controllers can make informed predictions regarding planned route changes, as flight plans dictate the expected path an aircraft will follow.

This capability enhances situational awareness for air traffic controllers, allowing them to foresee how an aircraft's speed and route might change throughout the flight, especially in response to air traffic control instructions or changing weather conditions. The use of flight plan data is crucial for efficient traffic management and ensuring safety in the airspace, enabling timely updates and responses to any necessary adjustments in flight trajectories.

Weather conditions and their impact, crash potential based on speed, and airspace congestion, while relevant to overall aviation safety and management, are not specifically predicted through flight plan aided tracking in the same straightforward manner as changes in ground speed and planned routes are.